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SF · ATLQuestionableQuestionableQuestionableQuestionableInjured ReserveInjured ReserveQuestionableQuestionableQuestionableActive
SF San Francisco 49ers
Sun
1:00 PM ET
Atlanta Falcons ATL
This Game’s Lines
Spread
ATL +2.5
SF -2.5
Total
49.5
over / under
Moneyline
ATL +124
SF -148
Jordan Watkins Longest Reception Prop
Key stats
Longest Reception · SF @ ATL
Consensus line
18.5
Projection
—
2026 over
2-2
Conviction★★★★★
Hit probability
—
EV at best price
—
Composite Edge Score
—
Hit rate, line gap, matchup, usage and conditions — combined into one number.
We don’t publish a rating on this market — not enough usable history for a projection we’d stand behind.
No rating on this market
Not ratedWe publish a projection only where the history supports one, and for Jordan Watkins’s longest reception it doesn’t — so we give you no number rather than a made-up one. The real line, both books’ prices and Jordan’s actual hit-rate history are all below.
Premier wouldn’t unlock this one — there’s nothing behind it. Other markets on this player may be rated.
Prop Analysis
At a line of 18.5 — 2 over · 2 under over 4 games.
Only 4 games on record — that’s every one we have, not the last 15.
34
0
0
22
18.5
ARIDEN@SEAWSH
Test any line
18.5 · 2/4 over (50%)
Drag — every bar re-grades live against your number.
Filters
Prop Odds
| Longest Reception | Best odds | Consensus | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 18.5 | ||||
| Under 18.5 |
Injury Report
Brian Robinson Jr. RB · Atlanta Falcons
Robinson (hamstring) didn't practice Thursday, Marc Raimondi of ESPN.com reports.
Cameron Thomas DE · Atlanta Falcons
questionable
Gervon Dexter Sr. DT · Atlanta Falcons
questionable
Kendal Daniels LB · Atlanta Falcons
questionable
Beaux Collins WR · Atlanta Falcons
The Falcons designated Collins (hip) to return from IR on Thursday, per the NFL's transaction log.
A.J. Terrell Jr. CB · Atlanta Falcons
Terrell (groin) was a limited participant at the Falcons' practice Wednesday, Daniel Flick of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports.
C.J. Henderson CB · Atlanta Falcons
Henderson (groin) was a limited participant at the Falcons' practice Wednesday, Daniel Flick of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports.
Divine Deablo LB · Atlanta Falcons
Deablo (arm) did not participate at the Falcons' practice Wednesday, Daniel Flick of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports.
Olamide Zaccheaus WR · Atlanta Falcons
Zaccheaus (shoulder) was a limited participant at the Falcons' practice Wednesday, Daniel Flick of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports.
Andy Dalton QB · Atlanta Falcons
Head coach Kevin Stefanski said Wednesday that Dalton is in a "ramp-up period" and will be inactive for Sunday's game against the 49ers, Tori McElhaney of the Falcons' official site reports.
Live report — a key absence swings usage and can move this line.
Player Game Log
Official box scores, most recent first.
| Date | Opp | Result | CAR | RUSH YDS | RUSH TD | TGTS | REC | REC YDS | REC TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 | vs WSH | W 17-23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 0 |
| 10-11 | @ SEA | W 32-29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10-04 | vs DEN | W 14-24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 09-27 | vs ARI | W 30-36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 60 | 0 |
More Longest Reception plays today
Other longest reception props on today’s slate.
All numbers on this page are live: market odds, official game logs, the league injury report and Statly’s model outputs — probabilities, never guarantees. Information & analytics only · we never take bets · 21+.