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HomePicksGroupsFantasy
MLB props

Player Analyzer · ⚾ MLB

Shawn Armstrong

Active

Cleveland Guardians · vs TB

★★★★★Conviction · Premier

Edge

TB Tampa Bay Rays

Fri

8:00 PM ET

Cleveland Guardians CLE

This Game’s Lines

Full game board →

Spread

CLE +1.5

TB -1.5

Total

6.5

over / under

Moneyline

CLE -108

TB -112

Shawn Armstrong Earned Runs Prop

Key stats

Earned Runs · TB @ CLE

Consensus line

0.5

Projection

Premier

2026 over

11-30

Conviction★★★★★

Hit probability

Premier

EV at best price

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Composite Edge Score

Hit rate, line gap, matchup, usage and conditions — combined into one number.

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Key Insights

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Our written read on this line — the projection vs the number, recent-form evidence, and the matchup, usage & conditions factors driving the lean — is part of Statly Premier.

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Prop Analysis

At a line of 0.5 — 4 over · 11 under over 15 games.

2026 season

1
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0
0.5
SEATEXCWSCWSCWS@MIN@MIA@MIAPITMINMIN@TB@BOS@KC@KC

Test any line

0.5 · 4/15 over (27%)

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Prop Odds

Our side · Premier
Earned RunsOpenBest oddsConsensusBetMGMBetMGMFliffFliff
Over 0.50.5 +200
Under 0.50.5 -295

Injury Report

TB · CLE

Colin Holderman RP · Cleveland Guardians

Holderman underwent surgery Wednesday to relieve recurring tendinitis in his right wrist, Zack Meisel of The Athletic reports.

15-Day-IL

Rhys Hoskins 1B · Cleveland Guardians

Guardians manager Stephen Vogt said Friday that Hoskins (back) has begun a swing progression program, MLB.com reports.

10-Day-IL

Andrew Walters RP · Cleveland Guardians

Walters underwent a right elbow UCL repair with an internal brace Wednesday, Tim Stebbins of MLB.com reports.

Out

Shane McClanahan SP · Tampa Bay Rays

McClanahan (forearm) won't be available to pitch during the rest of the postseason, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.

Out

Jacob Melton LF · Tampa Bay Rays

The Rays recalled Melton from Triple-A Durham and placed him on the 60-day injured list Tuesday due to a right hamstring strain.

60-Day-IL

Gavin Lux LF · Tampa Bay Rays

Lux (shoulder) has resumed full baseball activity, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.

60-Day-IL

Edwin Uceta RP · Tampa Bay Rays

Uceta (shoulder) is playing catch from 75 feet, per MLB.com.

60-Day-IL

Jonathan Heasley RP · Tampa Bay Rays

Heasley was returned to the major-league roster and placed on the 15-day injured list Tuesday with a right elbow stress reaction.

60-Day-IL

Ryan Pepiot SP · Tampa Bay Rays

Pepiot will undergo surgery on his right hip May 13 and miss the rest of the 2026 season, Ryan Bass of Rays.tv reports.

60-Day-IL

Live report — a key absence swings usage and can move this line.

Player Game Log

Official box scores, most recent first.

DateOppResultKOutsERHABB
09-26@ KCW13000
09-25@ KCW03010
09-23@ BOSL01000
07-24@ TBL02312
07-21vs MINW12020
07-20vs MINW13011
07-18vs PITW33000
07-12@ MIAW03000
07-11@ MIAW01010
07-08@ MINL02202
07-05vs CWSL02012
07-04vs CWSL13010
07-02vs CWSW04000
06-30vs TEXL13110
06-28vs SEAW22120
06-27vs SEAW00330
06-24@ CWSW04002
06-22@ CWSL13120
06-19@ HOUL12010
06-17@ MILL23000

More Earned Runs plays today

Other earned runs props on today’s slate.

Nick Martinez

11.5

All numbers on this page are live: market odds, official game logs, the league injury report and Statly’s model outputs — probabilities, never guarantees. Information & analytics only · we never take bets · 21+.