Model Builder

Build your own model. No code.

Most sites just hand you picks. Statly hands you the engine. Decide how much each factor matters — recent form, matchup, line value, and the conditions most books ignore (on MLB: first-pitch weather and park) — then save your weighting and carry it with you. It’s a quant strategy for betting, no spreadsheet required.

1 · Weight your factors

Slide the dials for the factors you trust. Start from a preset or from scratch.

2 · See your blend

Your weights combine into one strategy — which factors lead, and how much each carries.

3 · Save & share it

Keep your model, share it, and bring it to the boards. Ranking against live slates is coming per sport.

Sport — each has its own factors

Model builder

Set how much each factor matters. We blend them into your own 0–100 score and re-rank every play by your model. The factors are tuned to NFL — every sport moves on different things.

Start from a preset

Player

Recent form25%

Hit rate & trend over the last 5–10 games

Usage & role12%

Snaps, touches, minutes — is the workload rising?

Injury & role7%

Who's in, who's out, and how the role shifts

Matchup

Defensive matchup20%

Opponent rank against this exact stat

Line value20%

Our projection vs the posted line — the soft numbers

Pace & total8%

Game speed and projected scoring environment

Home / away split0%

How they perform at home vs on the road

Conditions · the edges most sites skip

Weather0%

Wind, rain & cold gut passing and kicking outdoors

Elevation0%

Altitude (Denver, Mexico City) tires legs, lifts totals

Surface0%

Turf vs grass — speed, player splits and injury risk

Travel & body clock0%

Cross-country trips and time-zone games sap output

Rest8%

Days off, back-to-backs and short weeks

Your model

My Model

NFL

Factors weighted

7

of 12 NFL factors

Leading factor

Recent form

25% of your weight

No win rate or ROI here on purpose — we don’t show a backtest we haven’t actually run. Every graded Statly pick is public on our record, units and all.

Your NFL model’s top picks

0 to rank

No modelled NFL plays yet

We don’t have modelled NFL plays to re-rank right now. Your weights are saved and this board fills in the moment real posted lines are wired into the builder — we’d rather show you nothing than rank made-up plays.

See today’s live props

Example models

Tap to run any model

Starting weightings you can run — not real users, followers or capper results, and no claimed record

The Closer

Statly sample strategy

Line value 45%Defensive matchup 30%Recent form 25%
3 factorsNo record claimed

Chalk Crusher

Statly sample strategy

Defensive matchup 40%Home / away split 30%Recent form 30%
3 factorsNo record claimed

Workhorse RBs

Statly sample strategy

Usage & role 45%Defensive matchup 30%Injury & role 25%
3 factorsNo record claimed

Volume Hunter

Statly sample strategy

Usage & role 50%Recent form 30%Pace & total 20%
3 factorsNo record claimed

Primetime Unders

Statly sample strategy

Pace & total 40%Defensive matchup 35%Rest 25%
3 factorsNo record claimed

Bounce-Back Bot

Statly sample strategy

Recent form 40%Line value 35%Rest 25%
3 factorsNo record claimed

We don’t rank a slate here yet. Rather than score plays with placeholder factor values, we show you nothing until this reads from the same live odds and official game logs that drive the rated boards — your saved models carry over when it does. Past performance never guarantees future outcomes. Information & analytics only — we never take bets. 21+.