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MIN · TORInjured ReserveInjured ReserveDay-To-DayDay-To-DayOutInjured ReserveInjured ReserveInjured ReserveInjured ReserveInjured Reserve
Our graded record on Auston
0-3 · 0%
LLL
MIN Minnesota Wild
Thu
7:00 PM ET
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
This Game’s Lines
Spread
TOR +1.5
MIN -1.5
Total
6.5
over / under
Moneyline
TOR +142
MIN -170
Auston Matthews Goals Prop
Key stats
Goals · MIN @ TOR
Consensus line
0.5
Projection
—
2027 over
10-10
Conviction★★★★★
Hit probability
—
EV at best price
—
Composite Edge Score
—
Hit rate, line gap, matchup, usage and conditions — combined into one number.
We don’t publish a rating on this market — not enough usable history for a projection we’d stand behind.
No rating on this market
Not ratedWe publish a projection only where the history supports one, and for Auston Matthews’s goals it doesn’t — so we give you no number rather than a made-up one. The real line, both books’ prices and Auston’s actual hit-rate history are all below.
Premier wouldn’t unlock this one — there’s nothing behind it. Other markets on this player may be rated.
Prop Analysis
At a line of 0.5 — 8 over · 7 under over 15 games.
2027 season
2
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0.5
@COL@UTABUFNYISJ@CBJNYR@EDM@CGY@SEA@VANUTAMTLNJCOL
Test any line
0.5 · 8/15 over (53%)
Drag — every bar re-grades live against your number.
Filters
Prop Odds
| Goals | Open | Best odds | Consensus | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 0.5 +150 | |||
| Under 0.5 | 0.5 -210 |
Injury Report
Brock Faber D · Minnesota Wild
Faber (skull) has told the Wild that he's ready to play and expects to return for Saturday's game against the Bruins, Michael Russo of The Athletic reports Wednesday.
Filip Gustavsson G · Minnesota Wild
Gustavsson (hip) will travel with the Wild during the team's upcoming three-game road trip, per Joe Smith of The Athletic.
Zack MacEwen C · Toronto Maple Leafs
day-to-day
Morgan Rielly D · Toronto Maple Leafs
day-to-day
Colton Sissons C · Toronto Maple Leafs
out
Kirill Marchenko RW · Toronto Maple Leafs
ir
Miles Wood LW · Toronto Maple Leafs
Wood (undisclosed) was transferred to long-term injured reserve Wednesday, David Alter of The Hockey News reports.
Nick Blankenburg D · Toronto Maple Leafs
Blankenburg (undisclosed) was placed on injured reserve by the Maple Leafs on Friday, David Alter of The Hockey News reports.
Marshall Rifai D · Toronto Maple Leafs
ir
Max Domi C · Toronto Maple Leafs
Domi (back) was transferred from the non-roster list to long-term injured reserve Wednesday, per PuckPedia.
Live report — a key absence swings usage and can move this line.
Player Game Log
Official box scores, most recent first.
| Date | Opp | Result | TOI | G | A | PTS | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-10 | vs COL | L 6-3 | 17:47 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 11-08 | vs NJ | L 4-0 | 19:30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 11-07 | vs MTL | L 4-2 | 22:57 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 11-03 | vs UTA | L 3-2 | 20:01 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 10-31 | @ VAN | W 4-2 | 20:13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 10-28 | @ SEA | L 4-5 | 20:08 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 10-26 | @ CGY | L 2-5 | 19:00 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10-24 | @ EDM | W 7-2 | 17:13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 10-22 | vs NYR | W 4-5 | 19:16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 10-20 | @ CBJ | W 6-2 | 17:06 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 10-19 | vs SJ | W 1-3 | 20:57 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 10-17 | vs NYI | L 4-1 | 19:56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10-15 | vs BUF | L 5-4 | 22:14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 10-13 | @ UTA | L 4-5 | 20:12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 10-10 | @ COL | W 6-3 | 22:06 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
| 10-08 | @ VGK | L 3-4 | 21:32 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 10-06 | vs NSH | W 4-5 | 25:09 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 10-03 | vs OTT | L 3-2 | 21:50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 09-30 | vs NYI | W 1-2 | 20:04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 09-29 | vs MTL | L 3-2 | 22:34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
More Goals plays today
Other goals props on today’s slate.
All numbers on this page are live: market odds, official game logs, the league injury report and Statly’s model outputs — probabilities, never guarantees. Information & analytics only · we never take bets · 21+.