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HOU · JAXActiveActiveActiveActiveActiveActiveActiveDoubtfulDoubtfulActive
Our graded record on Brian
1-5 · 17%
LLLLLW
HOU Houston Texans
Sun
9:30 AM ET
Jacksonville Jaguars JAX
This Game’s Lines
Spread
JAX -3
HOU +3
Total
42.5
over / under
Moneyline
JAX -148
HOU +124
Brian Thomas Jr Receiving Yards Prop
Key stats
Receiving Yards · HOU @ JAX
Consensus line
15.5
Projection
—
2026 over
3-2
Conviction★★★★★
Hit probability
—
EV at best price
—
Composite Edge Score
—
Hit rate, line gap, matchup, usage and conditions — combined into one number.
We don’t publish a rating on this market — not enough usable history for a projection we’d stand behind.
No rating on this market
Not ratedWe publish a projection only where the history supports one, and for Brian Thomas Jr’s receiving yards it doesn’t — so we give you no number rather than a made-up one. The real line, both books’ prices and Brian’s actual hit-rate history are all below.
Premier wouldn’t unlock this one — there’s nothing behind it. Other markets on this player may be rated.
Prop Analysis
At a line of 15.5 — 3 over · 2 under over 5 games.
Only 5 games on record — that’s every one we have, not the last 15.
40
40
8
17
0
15.5
CLE@DENNE@CINPHI
Test any line
15.5 · 3/5 over (60%)
Drag — every bar re-grades live against your number.
Filters
Prop Odds
| Receiving Yards | Open | Best odds | Consensus | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 15.5 | 14.5 -114 | ||||||
| Under 15.5 | 14.5 -114 |
Injury Report
Marlin Klein TE · Houston Texans
Febechi Nwaiwu G · Houston Texans
Aiden Fisher LB · Houston Texans
Collin Wright CB · Houston Texans
Sabastian Harsh DE · Houston Texans
Chris Braswell DE · Houston Texans
Nate Thomas OT · Houston Texans
Jalen Pitre S · Houston Texans
Texans head coach DeMeco Ryans said Monday that Pitre is "week-to-week" due to a left shoulder injury that he sustained in Sunday's 26-3 win over the Titans, Jonathan M. Alexander of the Houston Chronicle reports.
David Montgomery RB · Houston Texans
Texans head coach DeMeco Ryans said Monday that Montgomery (groin) is considered week-to-week, Jonathan M. Alexander of the Houston Chronicle reports.
Ka'imi Fairbairn PK · Houston Texans
Fairbairn converted on all six of his kicks (four field goals, two extra points) during the Texans' 26-3 win over the Titans on Sunday.
Live report — a key absence swings usage and can move this line.
Player Game Log
Official box scores, most recent first.
| Date | Opp | Result | CAR | RUSH YDS | RUSH TD | TGTS | REC | REC YDS | REC TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 | vs PHI | W 17-19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10-04 | @ CIN | W 22-17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 1 |
| 09-27 | vs NE | W 6-35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| 09-20 | @ DEN | L 13-20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 40 | 0 |
| 09-13 | vs CLE | W 10-34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 0 |
More Receiving Yards plays today
Other receiving yards props on today’s slate.
All numbers on this page are live: market odds, official game logs, the league injury report and Statly’s model outputs — probabilities, never guarantees. Information & analytics only · we never take bets · 21+.