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Our graded record on Bubba
1-3 · 25%
LWLL
KC Kansas City Royals
Sat
6:41 PM ET
Pittsburgh Pirates PIT
This Game’s Lines
Spread
PIT +1.5
KC -1.5
Total
8
over / under
Moneyline
PIT -119
KC -101
Bubba Chandler Earned Runs Prop
Composite Edge Score
Hit rate, line gap, matchup, usage and conditions — combined into one number.
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At a line of 2.5 — 6 over · 9 under over 15 games.
2026 season
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2.5
@COLSEA@PHI@WSHMIL@NYYAZ@MILNYMBOS@LAD@SDSF@CWS@CHC
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2.5 · 6/15 over (40%)
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Prop Odds
| Earned Runs | Best odds | Consensus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | |||
| Under 2.5 |
Injury Report
Jac Caglianone RF · Kansas City Royals
Caglianone is not in Friday's starting lineup against the Pirates due to a hand injury, Joel Goldberg of Royals.tv reports.
Connor Seabold RP · Kansas City Royals
Seabold (lat) struck out one across a perfect inning with Triple-A Omaha on Thursday.
Tony Gonsolin SP · Kansas City Royals
Gonsolin (elbow) allowed three runs on four hits and no walks while striking out three over five innings in a rehab start with Triple-A Omaha on Thursday.
James McArthur RP · Kansas City Royals
McArthur (elbow) allowed three runs on three hits and no walks with one strikeout across two-thirds of an inning in a rehab appearance with Double-A Northwest Arkansas on Wednesday.
Beck Way RP · Kansas City Royals
Way (back/shoulder) has been shut down for the remainder of the season, per MLB.com.
Carlos Estevez RP · Kansas City Royals
Estevez will undergo season-ending surgery on his right shoulder next week, Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports.
Nick Mears RP · Kansas City Royals
Mears (shoulder) was diagnosed with thoracic outlet syndrome Saturday and will undergo season-ending surgery, MLB.com reports.
Luinder Avila SP · Kansas City Royals
Manager Matt Quatraro said that Avila is scheduled to undergo Tommy John surgery on his right elbow Wednesday, Joel Goldberg of Bally Sports Kansas City reports.
Stephen Kolek SP · Kansas City Royals
Manager Matt Quatraro announced that Kolek is scheduled to undergo Tommy John surgery on his right elbow Wednesday, Joel Goldberg of Bally Sports Kansas City reports.
Cole Ragans SP · Kansas City Royals
Ragans underwent UCL repair surgery on his left elbow Wednesday, Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports.
Live report — a key absence swings usage and can move this line.
Player Game Log
Official box scores, most recent first.
| Date | Opp | Result | K | Outs | ER | HA | BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 | @ CHC | W | 3 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 09-08 | @ CWS | W | 8 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 09-02 | vs SF | L | 4 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 08-26 | @ SD | L | 3 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| 08-21 | @ LAD | L | 6 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 08-14 | vs BOS | W | 5 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 08-08 | vs NYM | W | 5 | 18 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 08-03 | @ MIL | W | 5 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 07-28 | vs AZ | L | 3 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| 07-22 | @ NYY | L | 5 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 07-11 | vs MIL | W | 6 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 07-05 | @ WSH | W | 0 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 06-30 | @ PHI | L | 6 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
| 06-25 | vs SEA | W | 4 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| 06-19 | @ COL | L | 1 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| 06-13 | vs MIA | W | 6 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 06-07 | @ ATL | L | 7 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 06-02 | @ HOU | W | 3 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 05-27 | vs CHC | L | 5 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| 05-22 | @ TOR | L | 11 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
More Earned Runs plays today
Other earned runs props on today’s slate.
All numbers on this page are live: market odds, official game logs, the league injury report and Statly’s model outputs — probabilities, never guarantees. Information & analytics only · we never take bets · 21+.