
Our graded record on Christian
14-10 · 58%

SF San Francisco 49ers
Sun
4:25 PM ET
Dallas Cowboys DAL

Spread
DAL +3.5
SF -3.5
Total
55.5
over / under
Moneyline
DAL +170
SF -205
Key stats
Longest Reception · SF @ DAL
Consensus line
13.5
Projection
—
2026 over
2-6
Hit probability
—
EV at best price
—
Composite Edge Score
—
Hit rate, line gap, matchup, usage and conditions — combined into one number.
We don’t publish a rating on this market — not enough usable history for a projection we’d stand behind.
We publish a projection only where the history supports one, and for Christian McCaffrey’s longest reception it doesn’t — so we give you no number rather than a made-up one. The real line, both books’ prices and Christian’s actual hit-rate history are all below.
Premier wouldn’t unlock this one — there’s nothing behind it. Other markets on this player may be rated.
At a line of 13.5 — 5 over · 10 under over 15 games.
2025–2026 seasons
8 of these 15 games are from 2026 — the rest are 2025.
Test any line
13.5 · 5/15 over (33%)
Drag — every bar re-grades live against your number.
| Longest Reception | Open | Best odds | Consensus | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 13.5 | 13.5 -116 | |||||||
| Under 13.5 | 13.5 -112 |
Caleb Downs S · Dallas Cowboys
Downs recorded three tackles (two solo), including 1.0 sacks, and two pass breakups, including an interception, in Sunday's 27-23 win over the Colts.
Joey Porter Jr. CB · Dallas Cowboys
questionable
DeMarvion Overshown LB · Dallas Cowboys
questionable
KaVontae Turpin WR · Dallas Cowboys
questionable
Luke Schoonmaker TE · Dallas Cowboys
Schoonmaker (groin) was a full participant in Wednesday's practice, Tommy Yarrish of the Cowboys' official site reports.
Devin Moore CB · Dallas Cowboys
The Cowboys designated Moore (hip) for return from injured reserve Wednesday, Patrik Walker of the Cowboys' official site reports.
George Pickens WR · Dallas Cowboys
questionable
Tyler Goodson RB · Dallas Cowboys
Goodson sustained ACL and MCL sprains in his knee during Sunday's 27-23 win over the Colts, a source tells Todd Archer of ESPN.com.
Ryan Flournoy WR · Dallas Cowboys
Flournoy caught two of three targets for 53 yards during Sunday's 27-23 win over the Colts.
Jake Ferguson TE · Dallas Cowboys
out
Live report — a key absence swings usage and can move this line.
Official box scores, most recent first.
| Date | Opp | Result | CAR | RUSH YDS | RUSH TD | TGTS | REC | REC YDS | REC TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-08 | vs LV | W 17-38 | 18 | 68 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 1 |
| 10-25 | @ ATL | L 20-29 | 7 | 39 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 61 | 0 |
| 10-19 | vs WSH | W 17-23 | 16 | 64 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 53 | 0 |
| 10-11 | @ SEA | W 32-29 | 11 | 68 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 0 |
| 10-04 | vs DEN | W 14-24 | 15 | 52 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 0 |
| 09-27 | vs ARI | W 30-36 | 15 | 75 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 41 | 0 |
| 09-20 | vs MIA | W 13-35 | 10 | 23 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 43 | 0 |
| 09-10 | vs LAR | W 27-7 | 10 | 68 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 0 |
Other longest reception props on today’s slate.
All numbers on this page are live: market odds, official game logs, the league injury report and Statly’s model outputs — probabilities, never guarantees. Information & analytics only · we never take bets · 21+.