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BUF · LARActiveQuestionableActiveQuestionableOutActiveQuestionableOutActiveActive
Our graded record on Dalton
1-2 · 33%
LWL
BUF Buffalo Bills
Mon
8:15 PM ET
Los Angeles Rams LAR
This Game’s Lines
Spread
LAR -3.5
BUF +3.5
Total
54.5
over / under
Moneyline
LAR -180
BUF +150
Dalton Kincaid Longest Reception Prop
Key stats
Longest Reception · BUF @ LAR
Consensus line
21.5
Projection
—
2026 over
3-1
Conviction★★★★★
Hit probability
—
EV at best price
—
Composite Edge Score
—
Hit rate, line gap, matchup, usage and conditions — combined into one number.
We don’t publish a rating on this market — not enough usable history for a projection we’d stand behind.
No rating on this market
Not ratedWe publish a projection only where the history supports one, and for Dalton Kincaid’s longest reception it doesn’t — so we give you no number rather than a made-up one. The real line, both books’ prices and Dalton’s actual hit-rate history are all below.
Premier wouldn’t unlock this one — there’s nothing behind it. Other markets on this player may be rated.
Prop Analysis
At a line of 21.5 — 3 over · 1 under over 4 games.
Only 4 games on record — that’s every one we have, not the last 15.
40
25
24
7
21.5
@HOUDETLACNE
Test any line
21.5 · 3/4 over (75%)
Drag — every bar re-grades live against your number.
Filters
Prop Odds
| Longest Reception | Open | Best odds | Consensus | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 21.5 | 20.5 -112 | |||||||
| Under 21.5 | 20.5 -116 |
Injury Report
Davison Igbinosun CB · Buffalo Bills
Even with Christian Benford (toe) back from injury, Igbinosun is still expected to have a role in the Bills' secondary for Monday's game against the Rams, Nick Suss of ESPN.com reports.
Landon Jackson DE · Buffalo Bills
Jackson (knee) is listed as questionable for Monday's game against the Rams, Joe Buscaglia of The Athletic reports.
Christian Benford CB · Buffalo Bills
Benford (toe) does not carry an injury designation into Monday night's game against the Rams, Joe Buscaglia of The Athletic reports.
Dee Alford CB · Buffalo Bills
Alford (ankle) is listed as questionable for Monday's game against the Rams, Joe Buscaglia of The Athletic reports.
Ed Oliver DT · Buffalo Bills
Oliver (knee) has been ruled out ahead of Monday's game against the Rams, Joe Buscaglia of The Athletic reports.
Skyler Bell WR · Buffalo Bills
Bell will make his NFL regular-season debut against the Rams on Monday due to the absence of Joshua Palmer (shoulder), Cameron Wolfe of NFL Network reports.
DJ Moore WR · Buffalo Bills
Moore (shoulder) is listed as questionable for Monday's game against the Rams, Katherine Fitzgerald of The Buffalo News reports.
Joshua Palmer WR · Buffalo Bills
Palmer (shoulder) has been ruled out for Monday's game against the Rams, Katherine Fitzgerald of The Buffalo News reports.
T.J. Sanders DT · Buffalo Bills
Sanders (appendix) practiced in full Thursday.
Greg Rousseau LB · Buffalo Bills
Rousseau logged four tackles (two solo) and two passes defensed in the Bills' 29-26 loss to the Patriots on Sunday.
Live report — a key absence swings usage and can move this line.
Player Game Log
Official box scores, most recent first.
| Date | Opp | Result | CAR | RUSH YDS | RUSH TD | TGTS | REC | REC YDS | REC TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 | vs NE | L 29-26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 09-27 | vs LAC | W 16-24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 0 |
| 09-17 | vs DET | W 31-41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 95 | 1 |
| 09-13 | @ HOU | W 36-31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 130 | 0 |
More Longest Reception plays today
Other longest reception props on today’s slate.
All numbers on this page are live: market odds, official game logs, the league injury report and Statly’s model outputs — probabilities, never guarantees. Information & analytics only · we never take bets · 21+.