
Our graded record on Drake
4-3 · 57%

NE New England Patriots
Sun
1:00 PM ET
Buffalo Bills BUF

Spread
BUF -6.5
NE +6.5
Total
48.5
over / under
Moneyline
BUF -290
NE +235
Composite Edge Score
Hit rate, line gap, matchup, usage and conditions — combined into one number.
Unlock the scoreOur written read on this line — the projection vs the number, recent-form evidence, and the matchup, usage & conditions factors driving the lean — is part of Statly Premier.
Unlock Key Insights — $35/moAt a line of 19.5 — 6 over · 9 under over 15 games.
2025–2026 seasons
3 of these 15 games are from 2026 — the rest are 2025.
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19.5 · 6/15 over (40%)
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| Completions | Open | Best odds | Consensus | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 | 20.5 -104 | ||||||
| Under 19.5 | 20.5 -127 |
C.J. Gardner-Johnson S · Buffalo Bills
Gardner-Johnson logged five tackles (three solo) and two passes defensed, including one interception, in the Bills' 24-16 win over the Chargers on Sunday.
Greg Rousseau LB · Buffalo Bills
Rousseau logged eight tackles (five solo), including 2.0 sacks, in the Bills' 24-16 win over the Chargers on Sunday.
Ar'maj Reed-Adams G · Buffalo Bills
Reed-Adams (elbow) was a full participant in Wednesday's practice.
Keon Coleman WR · Buffalo Bills
Coleman (ankle) did not practice Wednesday.
Deone Walker DT · Buffalo Bills
questionable
Damar Hamlin S · Buffalo Bills
questionable
Joe Andreessen LB · Buffalo Bills
questionable
DJ Moore WR · Buffalo Bills
Moore (shoulder) was limited in Wednesday's practice.
Josh Allen QB · Buffalo Bills
Allen (knee) was spotted participating in practice Wednesday, Sal Capaccio of WGR Sports Radio 550 Buffalo reports.
Dawson Knox TE · Buffalo Bills
Knox hauled in his lone target for five yards in a 24-16 win over the Chargers on Sunday.
Live report — a key absence swings usage and can move this line.
Official box scores, most recent first.
| Date | Opp | Result | CMP | ATT | PASS YDS | PASS TD | INT | CAR | RUSH YDS | RUSH TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 | @ JAX | L 6-35 | 14 | 25 | 199 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 0 |
| 09-20 | vs PIT | W 3-20 | 14 | 22 | 208 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 0 |
| 09-09 | @ SEA | L 10-13 | 23 | 33 | 178 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 47 | 0 |
| 02-08 | vs SEA | L 29-13 | 27 | 43 | 295 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 37 | 0 |
| 01-25 | @ DEN | W 10-7 | 10 | 21 | 86 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 65 | 1 |
| 01-18 | vs HOU | W 16-28 | 16 | 27 | 179 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 0 |
| 01-11 | vs LAC | W 3-16 | 17 | 29 | 268 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 66 | 0 |
| 01-04 | vs MIA | W 10-38 | 14 | 18 | 191 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 41 | 0 |
| 12-28 | @ NYJ | W 42-10 | 19 | 21 | 256 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 0 |
| 12-21 | @ BAL | W 28-24 | 31 | 44 | 380 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 25 | 0 |
| 12-14 | vs BUF | L 35-31 | 14 | 23 | 155 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 43 | 2 |
| 12-01 | vs NYG | W 15-33 | 24 | 31 | 282 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 0 |
| 11-23 | @ CIN | W 26-20 | 22 | 35 | 294 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 0 |
| 11-13 | vs NYJ | W 14-27 | 25 | 34 | 281 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| 11-09 | @ TB | W 28-23 | 16 | 31 | 270 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 11-02 | vs ATL | W 23-24 | 19 | 29 | 259 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 0 |
| 10-26 | vs CLE | W 13-32 | 18 | 24 | 282 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 50 | 0 |
| 10-19 | @ TEN | W 31-13 | 21 | 23 | 222 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 62 | 0 |
| 10-12 | @ NO | W 25-19 | 18 | 26 | 261 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 28 | 0 |
| 10-05 | @ BUF | W 23-20 | 22 | 30 | 273 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 |
Other completions props on today’s slate.
All numbers on this page are live: market odds, official game logs, the league injury report and Statly’s model outputs — probabilities, never guarantees. Information & analytics only · we never take bets · 21+.