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Our graded record on Marvin
1-0 · 100%
W
SEA Seattle Seahawks
Thu
8:15 PM ET
Denver Broncos DEN
This Game’s Lines
Spread
DEN +3
SEA -3
Total
41.5
over / under
Moneyline
DEN +130
SEA -155
Marvin Mims Jr. Longest Reception Prop
Key stats
Longest Reception · SEA @ DEN
Consensus line
10.5
Projection
—
2026 over
0-2
Conviction★★★★★
Hit probability
—
EV at best price
—
Composite Edge Score
—
Hit rate, line gap, matchup, usage and conditions — combined into one number.
We don’t publish a rating on this market — not enough usable history for a projection we’d stand behind.
No rating on this market
Not ratedWe publish a projection only where the history supports one, and for Marvin Mims Jr.’s longest reception it doesn’t — so we give you no number rather than a made-up one. The real line, both books’ prices and Marvin’s actual hit-rate history are all below.
Premier wouldn’t unlock this one — there’s nothing behind it. Other markets on this player may be rated.
Prop Analysis
At a line of 10.5 — 6 over · 9 under over 15 games.
2025–2026 seasons
6
26
31
0
0
6
5
11
26
7
7
27
52
10
5
10.5
@PHINYJNYGDALKC@WSH@LVGBJAX@KCLACBUFNE@SF@LAC
2 of these 15 games are from 2026 — the rest are 2025.
Test any line
10.5 · 6/15 over (40%)
Drag — every bar re-grades live against your number.
Filters
Prop Odds
| Longest Reception | Open | Best odds | Consensus | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 10.5 | 10.5 -115 | ||||
| Under 10.5 | 10.5 -112 |
Injury Report
Courtland Sutton WR · Denver Broncos
Sutton posted two catches (on three targets) for 18 yards and one touchdown during Sunday's 23-17 victory at the Chargers.
RJ Harvey RB · Denver Broncos
Harvey notched three carries for seven yards and didn't haul in his only target during Sunday's 23-17 road win versus the Chargers.
Jaylen Waddle WR · Denver Broncos
Waddle corralled two of five targets for 19 yards and also had a nine-yard carry during Sunday's 23-17 road win against the Chargers.
Bo Nix QB · Denver Broncos
Nix was 16-for-27 passing for 123 yards, one touchdown and no interceptions, took four carries for 10 yards and fumbled twice (one lost) during Sunday's 23-17 victory at the Chargers.
J.K. Dobbins RB · Denver Broncos
Dobbins recorded 18 carries for 68 yards and one touchdown and gathered in both targets for six yards during Sunday's 23-17 win at the Chargers.
Talanoa Hufanga S · Denver Broncos
Hufanga (ankle) has been ruled out for the rest of Sunday's contest against the Chargers, Parker Gabriel of The Denver Post reports.
Sam Ehlinger QB · Denver Broncos
Ehlinger (coach's decision) is inactive but will serve as the emergency third quarterback in Sunday's game against the Chargers, Aric DiLalla of the Broncos' official site reports.
Pat Surtain II CB · Denver Broncos
inactive
Riley Moss CB · Denver Broncos
inactive
Tyler Onyedim DT · Denver Broncos
inactive
Live report — a key absence swings usage and can move this line.
Player Game Log
Official box scores, most recent first.
| Date | Opp | Result | CAR | RUSH YDS | RUSH TD | TGTS | REC | REC YDS | REC TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 | @ LAC | W 23-17 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 10-04 | @ SF | L 14-24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
| 01-25 | vs NE | L 10-7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 62 | 0 |
| 01-17 | vs BUF | W 30-33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 93 | 1 |
| 01-04 | vs LAC | W 3-19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 0 |
| 12-25 | @ KC | W 20-13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
| 12-21 | vs JAX | L 34-20 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 0 |
| 12-14 | vs GB | W 26-34 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 0 |
| 12-07 | @ LV | W 24-17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 11-30 | @ WSH | W 27-26 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| 11-16 | vs KC | W 19-22 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10-26 | vs DAL | W 24-44 | 3 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10-19 | vs NYG | W 32-33 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 85 | 0 |
| 10-12 | vs NYJ | W 13-11 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 0 |
| 10-05 | @ PHI | W 21-17 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 0 |
| 09-29 | vs CIN | W 3-28 | 1 | 16 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 69 | 0 |
| 09-21 | @ LAC | L 20-23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 09-14 | @ IND | L 28-29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 1 |
| 09-07 | vs TEN | W 12-20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 0 |
More Longest Reception plays today
Other longest reception props on today’s slate.
All numbers on this page are live: market odds, official game logs, the league injury report and Statly’s model outputs — probabilities, never guarantees. Information & analytics only · we never take bets · 21+.