
Player Analyzer · 🏈 NFL
QB · Los Angeles Rams · vs BUF
Our graded record on Matthew
10-6 · 63%

BUF Buffalo Bills
Mon
8:15 PM ET
Los Angeles Rams LAR

Spread
LAR -2.5
BUF +2.5
Total
53.5
over / under
Moneyline
LAR -142
BUF +120
Composite Edge Score
Hit rate, line gap, matchup, usage and conditions — combined into one number.
Unlock the scoreOur written read on this line — the projection vs the number, recent-form evidence, and the matchup, usage & conditions factors driving the lean — is part of Statly Premier.
Unlock Key Insights — $35/moAt a line of 2.5 — 1 over · 3 under over 4 games.
Only 4 games on record — that’s every one we have, not the last 15.
Test any line
2.5 · 1/4 over (25%)
Drag — every bar re-grades live against your number.
| Pass TDs | Open | Best odds | Consensus | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 2.5 +162 | |||
| Under 2.5 | 2.5 -220 |
T.J. Sanders DT · Buffalo Bills
out
Mike Danna DE · Buffalo Bills
Skyler Bell WR · Buffalo Bills
Jude Bowry OT · Buffalo Bills
Jalon Kilgore S · Buffalo Bills
Ar'maj Reed-Adams G · Buffalo Bills
Christian Benford CB · Buffalo Bills
out
Tyler Bass PK · Buffalo Bills
Bass went 2-for-2 on field-goal attempts and made both of his PATs during Sunday's 29-26 loss to the Patriots.
DJ Moore WR · Buffalo Bills
Moore (shoulder) is dealing with an injury that isn't considered long-term, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports.
Dalton Kincaid TE · Buffalo Bills
Kincaid brought in one of two targets for seven yards in the Bills' 29-26 loss to the Patriots on Sunday.
Live report — a key absence swings usage and can move this line.
Official box scores, most recent first.
| Date | Opp | Result | CMP | ATT | PASS YDS | PASS TD | INT | CAR | RUSH YDS | RUSH TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 | @ PHI | W 24-20 | 32 | 51 | 317 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
| 09-27 | @ DEN | L 26-30 | 30 | 55 | 390 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
| 09-21 | vs NYG | W 6-28 | 22 | 31 | 327 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 0 |
| 09-10 | vs SF | L 27-7 | 15 | 25 | 155 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
Other pass tds props on today’s slate.
All numbers on this page are live: market odds, official game logs, the league injury report and Statly’s model outputs — probabilities, never guarantees. Information & analytics only · we never take bets · 21+.