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BUF · LARActiveQuestionableActiveQuestionableOutActiveQuestionableOutActiveActive
Our graded record on Ty
1-4 · 20%
LLLWL
BUF Buffalo Bills
Mon
8:15 PM ET
Los Angeles Rams LAR
This Game’s Lines
Spread
LAR -3.5
BUF +3.5
Total
54.5
over / under
Moneyline
LAR -175
BUF +145
Ty Johnson Longest Reception Prop
Key stats
Longest Reception · BUF @ LAR
Consensus line
10.5
Projection
—
2026 over
1-1
Conviction★★★★★
Hit probability
—
EV at best price
—
Composite Edge Score
—
Hit rate, line gap, matchup, usage and conditions — combined into one number.
We don’t publish a rating on this market — not enough usable history for a projection we’d stand behind.
No rating on this market
Not ratedWe publish a projection only where the history supports one, and for Ty Johnson’s longest reception it doesn’t — so we give you no number rather than a made-up one. The real line, both books’ prices and Ty’s actual hit-rate history are all below.
Premier wouldn’t unlock this one — there’s nothing behind it. Other markets on this player may be rated.
Prop Analysis
At a line of 10.5 — 8 over · 7 under over 15 games.
2025–2026 seasons
0
11
0
9
16
52
23
9
7
12
0
21
14
29
9
10.5
NE@ATL@CARKC@MIATB@HOU@PITCIN@NE@CLEPHINYJLACNE
2 of these 15 games are from 2026 — the rest are 2025.
Test any line
10.5 · 8/15 over (53%)
Drag — every bar re-grades live against your number.
Filters
Prop Odds
| Longest Reception | Open | Best odds | Consensus | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 10.5 | 8.5 -107 | ||||||
| Under 10.5 | 8.5 -121 |
Injury Report
Davison Igbinosun CB · Buffalo Bills
Even with Christian Benford (toe) back from injury, Igbinosun is still expected to have a role in the Bills' secondary for Monday's game against the Rams, Nick Suss of ESPN.com reports.
Landon Jackson DE · Buffalo Bills
Jackson (knee) is listed as questionable for Monday's game against the Rams, Joe Buscaglia of The Athletic reports.
Christian Benford CB · Buffalo Bills
Benford (toe) does not carry an injury designation into Monday night's game against the Rams, Joe Buscaglia of The Athletic reports.
Dee Alford CB · Buffalo Bills
Alford (ankle) is listed as questionable for Monday's game against the Rams, Joe Buscaglia of The Athletic reports.
Ed Oliver DT · Buffalo Bills
Oliver (knee) has been ruled out ahead of Monday's game against the Rams, Joe Buscaglia of The Athletic reports.
Skyler Bell WR · Buffalo Bills
Bell will make his NFL regular-season debut against the Rams on Monday due to the absence of Joshua Palmer (shoulder), Cameron Wolfe of NFL Network reports.
DJ Moore WR · Buffalo Bills
Moore (shoulder) is listed as questionable for Monday's game against the Rams, Katherine Fitzgerald of The Buffalo News reports.
Joshua Palmer WR · Buffalo Bills
Palmer (shoulder) has been ruled out for Monday's game against the Rams, Katherine Fitzgerald of The Buffalo News reports.
T.J. Sanders DT · Buffalo Bills
Sanders (appendix) practiced in full Thursday.
Greg Rousseau LB · Buffalo Bills
Rousseau logged four tackles (two solo) and two passes defensed in the Bills' 29-26 loss to the Patriots on Sunday.
Live report — a key absence swings usage and can move this line.
Player Game Log
Official box scores, most recent first.
| Date | Opp | Result | CAR | RUSH YDS | RUSH TD | TGTS | REC | REC YDS | REC TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 | vs NE | L 29-26 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
| 09-27 | vs LAC | W 16-24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 0 |
| 01-04 | vs NYJ | W 8-35 | 13 | 36 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 1 |
| 12-28 | vs PHI | L 13-12 | 5 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 33 | 0 |
| 12-21 | @ CLE | W 23-20 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12-14 | @ NE | W 35-31 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 0 |
| 12-07 | vs CIN | W 34-39 | 2 | 25 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 0 |
| 11-30 | @ PIT | W 26-7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 0 |
| 11-20 | @ HOU | L 19-23 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 45 | 0 |
| 11-16 | vs TB | W 32-44 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 61 | 1 |
| 11-09 | @ MIA | L 13-30 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 0 |
| 11-02 | vs KC | W 21-28 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 0 |
| 10-26 | @ CAR | W 40-9 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10-13 | @ ATL | L 14-24 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 0 |
| 10-05 | vs NE | L 23-20 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 09-28 | vs NO | W 19-31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 09-18 | vs MIA | W 21-31 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| 09-14 | @ NYJ | W 30-10 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 09-07 | vs BAL | W 40-41 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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All numbers on this page are live: market odds, official game logs, the league injury report and Statly’s model outputs — probabilities, never guarantees. Information & analytics only · we never take bets · 21+.