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NYJ · NEInjured ReserveActiveQuestionableActiveActiveActiveActiveActiveActiveQuestionable
Our graded record on Geno
7-12 · 37%
WLWLWWWW
NYJ New York Jets
Sun
1:00 PM ET
New England Patriots NE
This Game’s Lines
Spread
NE -7
NYJ +7
Total
43.5
over / under
Moneyline
NE -325
NYJ +260
Geno Smith Pass Yards Prop
Key stats
Pass Yards · NYJ @ NE
Consensus line
202.5
Projection
—
2026 over
3-2
Conviction★★★★★
Hit probability
—
EV at best price
—
Composite Edge Score
—
Hit rate, line gap, matchup, usage and conditions — combined into one number.
We don’t publish a rating on this market — not enough usable history for a projection we’d stand behind.
No rating on this market
Not ratedWe publish a projection only where the history supports one, and for Geno Smith’s pass yards it doesn’t — so we give you no number rather than a made-up one. The real line, both books’ prices and Geno’s actual hit-rate history are all below.
Premier wouldn’t unlock this one — there’s nothing behind it. Other markets on this player may be rated.
Prop Analysis
At a line of 202.5 — 3 over · 2 under over 5 games.
Only 5 games on record — that’s every one we have, not the last 15.
215
247
321
119
182
202.5
@TENGB@DET@CHICLE
Test any line
202.5 · 3/5 over (60%)
Drag — every bar re-grades live against your number.
Filters
Prop Odds
| Pass Yards | Best odds | Consensus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 202.5 | |||
| Under 202.5 |
Injury Report
A.J. Brown WR · New England Patriots
Patriots head coach Mike Vrabel said Monday that Brown (ankle) has "a chance" to return to practice this week, Mark Daniels of MassLive.com reports.
Andy Borregales PK · New England Patriots
Borregales made his lone field-goal attempt and all six extra-point tries during Sunday's 45-17 win over Las Vegas.
TreVeyon Henderson RB · New England Patriots
Henderson (ankle) is slated to undergo further medical testing Monday after exiting Sunday's 45-17 win over the Raiders, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports.
Efton Chism III WR · New England Patriots
Chism caught five of six targets for 57 yards and added a two-yard rush during Sunday's 45-17 win over the Raiders.
Hunter Henry TE · New England Patriots
Henry caught three of four targets for 44 yards and a touchdown during Sunday's 45-17 win over the Raiders.
Romeo Doubs WR · New England Patriots
Doubs caught one of three targets for 16 yards in Sunday's 45-17 win over the Raiders.
DeMario Douglas WR · New England Patriots
Douglas caught four of five targets for 65 yards and two touchdowns in Sunday's 45-17 win over the Raiders.
Rhamondre Stevenson RB · New England Patriots
Stevenson carried the ball 13 times for 64 yards and a touchdown and caught all three of his targets for 21 yards in Sunday's 45-17 rout of the Raiders.
Drake Maye QB · New England Patriots
Maye completed 26 of 34 passes for 374 yards and four touchdowns while adding 25 yards and another TD on seven carries in Sunday's 45-17 win over the Raiders.
Will Campbell OT · New England Patriots
Campbell is believed to have suffered a sprained knee during Sunday's 45-17 win over Las Vegas, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports.
Live report — a key absence swings usage and can move this line.
Player Game Log
Official box scores, most recent first.
| Date | Opp | Result | CMP | ATT | PASS YDS | PASS TD | INT | CAR | RUSH YDS | RUSH TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 | vs CLE | W 12-17 | 17 | 30 | 182 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 10-04 | @ CHI | L 12-23 | 8 | 15 | 119 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 09-27 | @ DET | L 24-31 | 31 | 37 | 321 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 |
| 09-20 | vs GB | L 20-17 | 27 | 41 | 247 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 0 |
| 09-13 | @ TEN | W 23-10 | 19 | 24 | 215 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 0 |
More Pass Yards plays today
Other pass yards props on today’s slate.
All numbers on this page are live: market odds, official game logs, the league injury report and Statly’s model outputs — probabilities, never guarantees. Information & analytics only · we never take bets · 21+.