
Our graded record on Josh
9-13 · 41%

BUF Buffalo Bills
Sun
1:00 PM ET
New York Jets NYJ

Spread
NYJ +8.5
BUF -8.5
Total
50.5
over / under
Moneyline
NYJ +340
BUF -440
Composite Edge Score
Hit rate, line gap, matchup, usage and conditions — combined into one number.
Unlock the scoreOur written read on this line — the projection vs the number, recent-form evidence, and the matchup, usage & conditions factors driving the lean — is part of Statly Premier.
Unlock Key Insights — $35/moAt a line of 19.5 — 10 over · 5 under over 15 games.
2025–2026 seasons
8 of these 15 games are from 2026 — the rest are 2025.
Test any line
19.5 · 10/15 over (67%)
Drag — every bar re-grades live against your number.
2 of 6 went over 19.5 · 4 under.
Josh Allen’s own games are excluded, and the span and venue controls above don’t reach this — it is every Completions appearance NYJ has faced this season from a player on our board. History, not a rating: a defence’s allowance in a prop market is measured not to carry forward.
| Completions | Open | Best odds | Consensus | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 | 20.5 -102 | |||||||
| Under 19.5 | 20.5 -124 |
Terrel Bernard LB · Buffalo Bills
Bernard recorded six tackles (two solo) and a pair of pass breakups, including an interception, in Monday night's 23-6 win over the Vikings.
Dion Dawkins OT · Buffalo Bills
Dawkins (ribs) was a limited participant in Wednesday's walkthrough practice.
Greg Gaines DT · Buffalo Bills
Gaines (calf) was a full participant in Wednesday's walkthrough practice.
Christian Benford CB · Buffalo Bills
Benford (wrist) was limited in Wednesday's walkthrough practice.
Spencer Brown OT · Buffalo Bills
questionable
Connor McGovern C · Buffalo Bills
questionable
Dalton Kincaid TE · Buffalo Bills
Kincaid (ankle) was listed as a limited participant in Wednesday's walk-through.
Keleki Latu TE · Buffalo Bills
Latu caught his lone target for a 25-yard touchdown Monday in a 23-6 win against the Vikings.
Jackson Hawes TE · Buffalo Bills
Hawes caught his lone target for eight yards during Buffalo's win over the Vikings on Monday.
Tyler Bass PK · Buffalo Bills
Bass connected on all three of his field-goal attempts and made both of his extra-point tries during the Bills' 23-6 win over the Vikings on Monday.
Live report — a key absence swings usage and can move this line.
Official box scores, most recent first.
| Date | Opp | Result | CMP | ATT | PASS YDS | PASS TD | INT | CAR | RUSH YDS | RUSH TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-09 | @ MIN | W 23-6 | 21 | 31 | 234 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 0 |
| 11-01 | vs BAL | W 10-36 | 21 | 34 | 289 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 1 |
| 10-18 | @ LV | W 33-30 | 23 | 33 | 255 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| 10-12 | @ LAR | W 37-34 | 12 | 19 | 210 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 121 | 1 |
| 10-04 | vs NE | L 29-26 | 23 | 33 | 253 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 |
| 09-27 | vs LAC | W 16-24 | 16 | 26 | 204 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 2 |
| 09-17 | vs DET | W 31-41 | 20 | 31 | 248 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 69 | 2 |
| 09-13 | @ HOU | W 36-31 | 20 | 29 | 334 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 2 |
Other completions props on today’s slate.
All numbers on this page are live: market odds, official game logs, the league injury report and Statly’s model outputs — probabilities, never guarantees. Information & analytics only · we never take bets · 21+.